Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000749 0.000856 0.000968 0.001096 0.001236 0.001386 0.001557
2025-03-23 0.000578 0.000723 0.000889 0.001088 0.001322 0.001584 0.001900
2025-03-30 0.000489 0.000652 0.000846 0.001090 0.001385 0.001729 0.002155
2025-04-06 0.000416 0.000588 0.000801 0.001079 0.001427 0.001844 0.002376
2025-04-13 0.000356 0.000531 0.000756 0.001059 0.001451 0.001932 0.002559
2025-04-20 0.000323 0.000506 0.000748 0.001083 0.001527 0.002084 0.002822
2025-04-27 0.000293 0.000480 0.000735 0.001099 0.001590 0.002218 0.003066
2025-05-04 0.000259 0.000443 0.000705 0.001086 0.001614 0.002301 0.003243
2025-05-11 0.000226 0.000407 0.000670 0.001066 0.001624 0.002363 0.003393
2025-05-18 0.000208 0.000389 0.000662 0.001079 0.001680 0.002488 0.003626
2025-05-25 0.000189 0.000369 0.000647 0.001083 0.001720 0.002590 0.003832
2025-06-01 0.000164 0.000336 0.000610 0.001050 0.001707 0.002618 0.003936
2025-06-08 0.000141 0.000305 0.000574 0.001019 0.001695 0.002648 0.004045
2025-06-15 0.000127 0.000287 0.000559 0.001016 0.001725 0.002737 0.004237
2025-06-22 0.000115 0.000272 0.000546 0.001016 0.001757 0.002829 0.004434
2025-06-29 0.000103 0.000255 0.000527 0.001006 0.001774 0.002898 0.004600
2025-07-06 0.000091 0.000236 0.000505 0.000988 0.001775 0.002944 0.004734
2025-07-13 0.000085 0.000231 0.000507 0.001010 0.001842 0.003087 0.005008
2025-07-20 0.000080 0.000224 0.000504 0.001025 0.001895 0.003212 0.005259
2025-07-27 0.000071 0.000210 0.000487 0.001013 0.001906 0.003272 0.005415
2025-08-03 0.000062 0.000194 0.000466 0.000994 0.001902 0.003309 0.005538
2025-08-10 0.000058 0.000189 0.000464 0.001007 0.001953 0.003431 0.005787
2025-08-17 0.000053 0.000181 0.000457 0.001010 0.001986 0.003526 0.005999